AC Isola Liri vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
60%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Isola Liri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 0
ACI
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ACI
0 - 2
PRG
13%
25%
62%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
USV
3 - 2
ACI
41%
28%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ACI
0 - 1
CAM
48%
27%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 2
ACI
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 0
MIL
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAG
15%
25%
61%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 1
ARZ
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 1
PAG
16%
26%
58%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PAG
3 - 1
ASM
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |