AC Isola Liri vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Isola Liri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 0
ACI
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIG
0 - 3
ACI
53%
24%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
LAT
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NEA
0 - 1
ACI
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ACI
0 - 0
MIL
19%
25%
56%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ASM
4 - 1
VIG
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
ASM
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 1
RAA
48%
25%
28%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 1
ASM
79%
15%
7%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ASM
2 - 2
LAT
37%
25%
39%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |