AC Este vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
UAR
0 - 1
ACE
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ACE
3 - 1
BEL
57%
23%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
ACE
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ACE
0 - 2
CAL
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACE
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 1
DEL
38%
24%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GSD
0 - 2
TRE
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CTT
6 - 0
TRE
93%
7%
1%
|
22 | 73 | 51 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TRE
0 - 1
BEL
39%
25%
35%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
TRE
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |