Cesena vs AlbinoLeffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2004 |
ASC
4 - 0
CES
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
40%
26%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CES
3 - 0
MOD
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
PES
2 - 1
CES
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CES
3 - 3
EMP
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ABN
3 - 0
PIA
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
TER
1 - 0
ABN
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ABN
1 - 2
SAL
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
CAT
0 - 0
ABN
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ABN
1 - 1
CRO
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |