Cesena vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 3
CES
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 1
CES
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CES
2 - 0
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 4
CES
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CES
4 - 0
LEC
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
TER
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 0
MOD
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 1
VIC
48%
28%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SAS
2 - 0
MOD
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
TUT
75%
18%
7%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |