Cesena vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CES
1 - 3
LAT
53%
27%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
REG
1 - 2
CES
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
CES
1 - 0
EMP
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPE
55%
23%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
PES
2 - 2
MOD
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |