Cesena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
CHI
3 - 1
CES
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
CES
1 - 1
RAV
53%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
PIA
0 - 0
CES
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CES
4 - 1
TRE
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
AVE
3 - 1
CES
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
MES
1 - 2
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MES
1 - 0
RIM
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 0
MES
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MES
2 - 1
BOL
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 0
MES
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |