Cesena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CES
2 - 0
ACM
16%
24%
61%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ROM
0 - 0
CES
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
CES
0 - 0
ALT
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 10 | 62 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
PIA
0 - 1
CES
43%
29%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
CES
2 - 1
MOD
56%
24%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
FIO
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ACM
4 - 0
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
LEC
0 - 2
VCF
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
LEC
0 - 0
SAS
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 0
LEC
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |