Cesena vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 2
CES
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
CES
1 - 2
VAR
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
TOR
2 - 1
CES
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
CES
1 - 1
TER
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
ATL
1 - 1
CES
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
LEC
3 - 4
REG
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
LEC
2 - 2
BRE
38%
27%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 1
LEC
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 5
VAR
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
LEC
62%
22%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |