Cesena vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 0
CES
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 3
CES
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
CES
1 - 1
LIV
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
CES
3 - 2
TRE
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACL
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 2
SPE
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SPE
0 - 0
CES
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ALZ
0 - 0
SPE
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SPE
0 - 0
PRO
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |