Cesena vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 2
CES
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
CES
1 - 2
PRG
19%
26%
54%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CES
1 - 4
ACP
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2003 |
CES
1 - 0
PIS
60%
22%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CTT
0 - 0
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SPE
1 - 1
PAV
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PAV
1 - 2
SAS
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAV
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PAV
1 - 3
ARZ
46%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAV
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |