AC Bellinzona vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 2
BEL
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 1
LOC
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 0
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
WOH
0 - 0
BEL
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 3
WIL
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 1
LUG
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 1
WIN
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 3
FCA
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
FCV
5 - 3
FCA
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |