SS Arezzo vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 1
ARZ
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 2
PIS
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
GER
2 - 3
ARZ
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 3
ARZ
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
ARZ
0 - 1
TRI
62%
23%
16%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASL
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 1
ASS
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 0
PON
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 0
ASL
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 0
ASL
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |