SS Arezzo vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
TER
1 - 1
ARZ
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 2
TRI
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2004 |
VER
5 - 3
ARZ
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASC
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 4
ARZ
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 1
TOR
29%
28%
44%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 2
CRO
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 0
MOD
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
VIC
3 - 2
CRO
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 1
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |