Abha vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
ABH
2 - 1
ALI
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
ABH
60%
21%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ABH
2 - 1
ALT
18%
25%
58%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
4 - 1
ABH
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ABH
2 - 2
ADA
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
ALN
1 - 4
ALH
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
ALN
2 - 3
ALR
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
ALN
4 - 1
ALR
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ALF
3 - 2
ALN
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALA
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |