ABFF U19 vs Minsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
74.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
10%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+607%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
16º
16º
16
14º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 70 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 68 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 61 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 61 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 57 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 56 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 56 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 54 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 51 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 41 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 38 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 32 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 28 |
16º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 28 |
17º
|
31.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABFF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
OFC
0 - 0
ABF
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 57 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
ABF
1 - 3
VOL
20%
23%
57%
|
18 | 66 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
ABF
0 - 1
BAR
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ABF
2 - 2
ORS
14%
19%
68%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 2
ABF
76%
16%
9%
|
17 | 55 | 38 | +1 |
Matches
Minsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 1
UNI
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
OSI
1 - 2
MIN
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 3
FCN
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
BAT
3 - 2
MIN
12%
16%
72%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 3
DNP
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |