Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
AIR
3 - 2
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 0
ABE
22%
20%
57%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ABE
3 - 2
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ABE
3 - 1
PRE
77%
14%
9%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 1
ABE
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 0
TNS
27%
25%
49%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 0
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 25 | 44 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TNS
6 - 0
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 3
TNS
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |