Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
HAV
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ABE
1 - 3
BAN
20%
23%
58%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
ABE
2 - 2
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
PRE
4 - 0
ABE
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 0
ABE
71%
17%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
TNS
4 - 0
NEW
87%
9%
3%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
TNS
29%
27%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TNS
2 - 0
AIR
85%
11%
5%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
NEA
1 - 1
TNS
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 4
TNS
14%
24%
62%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |