Aberystwyth Town vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 1
ABE
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
ABE
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAN
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
ABE
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
LLA
1 - 0
ABE
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
LLA
2 - 0
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
CEF
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WEL
0 - 3
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
TNS
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
AIR
2 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |