Aberystwyth Town vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
CAE
4 - 2
ABE
32%
24%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
HAV
1 - 1
ABE
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ABE
1 - 2
RHY
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
GRA
2 - 5
ABE
30%
25%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ABE
2 - 1
CEF
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
LLA
3 - 0
AIR
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CWM
0 - 1
LLA
31%
24%
44%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LLA
1 - 0
TNS
40%
23%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LLA
2 - 0
CON
72%
17%
12%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 1
LLA
58%
22%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |