Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
BAR
5 - 1
ABE
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
RHY
1 - 0
ABE
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
ABE
0 - 0
HOL
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
BAN
1 - 2
ABE
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
ABE
5 - 0
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
CAE
4 - 4
HAV
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
BAR
2 - 0
HAV
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
HAV
0 - 2
CAE
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
HAV
5 - 2
RHY
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |