Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
ABE
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 6
HAV
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 6
HAV
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 3
CON
10%
22%
67%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEF
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
2 - 0
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CON
5 - 0
CEF
81%
15%
5%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |