Aberystwyth Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
11º
10º
41
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
ABE
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
LLA
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
MER
89%
8%
3%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABE
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
CAR
7%
18%
75%
|
66 | 21 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |