Abertillery Bluebirds vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
82.2%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.2%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.8%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
AAF
3 - 2
ABB
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
LID
3 - 0
ABB
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 0
ABB
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ABB
0 - 3
CON
2%
7%
91%
|
18 | 73 | 55 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ABB
4 - 3
LLA
11%
15%
75%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
TAF
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 4
CAM
15%
17%
68%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAR
9%
16%
75%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 0
CAM
12%
16%
73%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 2
CAM
25%
24%
52%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |