Abertillery Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABB
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CWM
1 - 2
ABB
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ABB
1 - 1
LLA
10%
16%
75%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ABB
1 - 1
TAF
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
ABB
54%
21%
26%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 1
GOY
26%
21%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 0
CAE
19%
18%
64%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
LID
0 - 2
BDG
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BDG
0 - 2
CAM
14%
17%
69%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
BDG
83%
12%
6%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |