Abercorn vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
49.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1892 |
CLY
5 - 2
ABE
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1892 |
ABE
0 - 4
GLA
26%
22%
52%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1892 |
ABE
1 - 1
DUM
29%
23%
48%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1892 |
CEL
3 - 1
ABE
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1892 |
ABE
0 - 1
GLA
28%
23%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1892 |
HOM
3 - 1
CEL
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1892 |
TLA
1 - 4
HOM
35%
24%
41%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1892 |
TLA
3 - 2
HOM
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 1892 |
LEI
2 - 2
HOM
27%
23%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1892 |
HOM
3 - 2
GLA
36%
24%
41%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |