Abercorn vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
39.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1890 |
ABE
2 - 5
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1890 |
ABE
1 - 5
CEL
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1890 |
DUM
5 - 1
ABE
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1890 |
ABE
2 - 4
TLA
37%
25%
39%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1890 |
STM
4 - 2
ABE
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1890 |
COW
1 - 6
DUM
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1890 |
DUM
5 - 1
ABE
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1890 |
VOL
1 - 3
DUM
58%
22%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1890 |
DUM
5 - 1
GLA
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1890 |
DUM
3 - 1
HOM
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |