ABC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 1
ABC
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 0
PAR
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 0
GLO
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
POT
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
JUV
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BOA
0 - 1
VIL
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 3
GOI
25%
24%
52%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
APA
2 - 2
VIL
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |