ABC vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ABC
5 - 0
ASS
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 3
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ABC
6 - 1
COR
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
13%
22%
65%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
POT
1 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
COR
4 - 3
POT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
POT
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
POT
1 - 2
ARN
15%
23%
62%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 0
POT
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |