ABC vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 0
GLO
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
POT
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
POT
0 - 4
ABC
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
ALE
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 2
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
ATP
20%
27%
53%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
ASA
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ATP
1 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |