ABC vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
APA
2 - 2
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ABC
0 - 0
CON
47%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
YPI
0 - 0
ABC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 0
MIR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
ABC
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MAN
4 - 2
FER
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
MAN
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 1
FFL
31%
30%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 2
MAN
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
ALT
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |