ABC vs Macau EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
ABC
2 - 3
ASS
57%
22%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ARN
2 - 2
ABC
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ABC
0 - 2
ALE
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Macau EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MEC
2 - 0
SGO
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
ACD
3 - 1
MEC
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MEC
2 - 2
PEC
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
POT
2 - 0
MEC
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
MEC
1 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |