ABC vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 0
ABC
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
PPE
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 0
ABC
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 2
CAM
63%
21%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
ABC
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 0
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 1
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
4 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 1
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 2
SAO
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |