ABC vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ABC
1 - 2
SAL
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 2
ABC
18%
22%
61%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
IMP
3 - 2
ABC
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 1
IMP
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
POT
1 - 0
ABC
21%
25%
53%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GLO
0 - 0
POT
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 0
GLO
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
GLO
20%
23%
58%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 0
ARN
13%
17%
70%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 3
GLO
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |