ABC vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
PPE
1 - 2
ABC
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
ABC
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 3
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
GRÊ
3 - 2
ABC
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
ABC
2 - 2
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
CRB
3 - 0
PAR
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
CRB
1 - 2
BAH
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
CEA
1 - 0
CRB
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
AVA
5 - 1
CRB
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
CRB
1 - 1
ARN
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |