ABC vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
60.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
AVA
0 - 0
ABC
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ABC
3 - 2
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ABC
2 - 2
POT
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
POT
2 - 2
ABC
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 0
MEC
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 3
COR
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 3
COR
32%
27%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
COR
3 - 2
CRB
68%
21%
11%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
COR
2 - 1
SAO
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |