ABC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
COR
3 - 7
ABC
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACD
2 - 2
ABC
34%
25%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ABC
1 - 1
ALE
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
ABC
2 - 1
POT
64%
19%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ASS
3 - 2
ABC
36%
25%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
ASS
42%
25%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ALE
2 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 0
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
COR
3 - 2
BAR
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |