ABC vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
ABC
4 - 1
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 0
ABC
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 0
ICA
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ABC
3 - 3
ARN
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
OES
2 - 1
ABC
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AVA
0 - 1
ARN
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 1
AVA
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 0
AVA
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
AVA
0 - 4
FFL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
AVA
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |