ABC vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
ABC
18%
25%
58%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ABC
0 - 1
ALE
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 2
ABC
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
GLO
3 - 1
ABC
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 1
PAL
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 2
PAL
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
POT
1 - 1
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
GLO
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ARN
4 - 0
ASS
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 1
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |