Rafalafena vs Ibarsos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
RAF
18%
19%
64%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 2
ORP
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIN
0 - 0
RAF
24%
21%
56%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 2
BEN
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 1
RAF
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ibarsos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IBA
3 - 2
CAT
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAB
0 - 2
IBA
23%
22%
56%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
IBA
0 - 3
SAN
55%
22%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
OND
0 - 1
IBA
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
IBA
5 - 3
ROD
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |