Aarup vs Taastrup FC analysis


38	ELO	30
10%	Tilt	10.8%
20492º	General ELO ranking	21818º
217º	Country ELO ranking	244º
ELO win probability

72.5%

Aarup

15.8%

Draw

11.7%

Taastrup FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

72.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%

15.8%

Draw

0-0

2.8%

1-1

7.1%

2-2

4.5%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

15.8%

11.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarup

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
13 Aug. 2013	KRA 4 - 1 AAR 18% 20% 62%	41	25	16
15 Jun. 2013	AAR 2 - 2 SCE 32% 24% 44%	41	50	9
09 Jun. 2013	MAR 3 - 3 AAR 41% 25% 35%	41	39	2
05 Jun. 2013	NAE 1 - 1 AAR 45% 23% 32%	41	38	3
01 Jun. 2013	AAR 4 - 1 DOL 78% 13% 9%	41	24	17

Matches

Taastrup FC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
09 Aug. 2013	TAA 2 - 2 GRE 25% 21% 54%	28	37	9	0