Aarhus Fremad vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
1º
22
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SKI
1 - 0
AAF
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FCH
0 - 2
AAF
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 0
BFR
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
SKI
3 - 0
AAF
20%
21%
59%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 2
CAR
22%
22%
56%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
THI
0 - 0
FRE
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 1
THI
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
NAE
2 - 1
THI
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
HOL
1 - 0
THI
32%
23%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
AUD
0 - 0
THI
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |