Aarhus Fremad vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
3º
3º
36
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
51 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
60 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
BFR
0 - 1
AAF
22%
24%
53%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AKA
0 - 2
AAF
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
AAF
3 - 1
AKA
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 4
AAF
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AAF
2 - 0
THI
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SKI
0 - 2
NAE
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
NAE
1 - 2
BFR
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FCH
2 - 1
NAE
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
NAE
1 - 2
IIF
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
LFA
0 - 2
NAE
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |