Aarhus Fremad vs Fremad Amager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
1º
42
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
SKI
3 - 0
AAF
20%
21%
59%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 2
CAR
22%
22%
56%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
FRE
2 - 1
AAF
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SON
1 - 0
AAF
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
NAS
1 - 0
AAF
22%
21%
57%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fremad Amager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BFR
3 - 3
LFA
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
FCH
1 - 2
BFR
30%
23%
46%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BFR
2 - 0
HBK
32%
24%
45%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
NAE
0 - 0
BFR
37%
24%
40%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BFR
0 - 1
ROS
35%
24%
42%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |