Aarhus Fremad vs Fremad Amager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
3º
23
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
SGF
1 - 8
AAF
4%
9%
87%
|
61 | 9 | 52 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
THI
1 - 3
AAF
16%
21%
63%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
BRA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SKI
1 - 2
AAF
14%
20%
66%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
1 - 7
AAF
5%
10%
85%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Fremad Amager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BFR
0 - 1
ROS
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MID
1 - 0
BFR
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 1
THI
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ESB
4 - 1
BFR
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
HEL
2 - 1
BFR
25%
22%
53%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |