Aarhus Fremad vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
1º
30
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
THI
0 - 2
AAF
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
HEL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
2 - 1
AAF
16%
18%
66%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 1
FCH
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AKA
3 - 2
AAF
28%
24%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 3
FCH
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
NAE
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 1
LYN
21%
21%
57%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 1
AKA
49%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 1
FRE
30%
25%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |