Aarhus Fremad vs Akademisk Boldklub analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
2º
42
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ESB
0 - 2
AAF
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 3
FCN
20%
22%
58%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
OBK
3 - 2
AAF
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VEJ
1 - 2
AAF
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SIF
2 - 1
AAF
67%
19%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Akademisk Boldklub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HEL
1 - 1
AKA
13%
18%
69%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
BRØ
3 - 4
AKA
4%
9%
87%
|
59 | 14 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FA2
0 - 1
AKA
21%
21%
59%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
HBK
5 - 0
AKA
36%
24%
41%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AKA
2 - 1
LFA
52%
22%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |