Aarau II vs Seefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCW
0 - 0
AAR
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
KOS
1 - 5
AAR
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
AAR
1 - 1
SUB
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
RSZ
0 - 0
AAR
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AAR
4 - 1
KUS
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Seefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SEE
0 - 4
KOS
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SUB
0 - 2
SEE
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SEE
2 - 1
RSZ
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
KUS
0 - 3
SEE
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
SEE
1 - 2
LAN
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |