Aarau II vs Langenthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FCT
2 - 0
AAR
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AAR
3 - 4
FCO
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 1
AAR
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AAR
0 - 1
FCW
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AAR
1 - 1
SCH
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Langenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
KOS
2 - 3
LAN
34%
24%
43%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SUB
2 - 2
LAN
14%
20%
66%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
3 - 2
RSZ
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
KUS
1 - 3
LAN
33%
23%
44%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 2
FCW
21%
22%
58%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |