Aarau II vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AAR
5 - 1
WOH
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KUS
0 - 0
AAR
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AAR
2 - 0
UST
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LAN
5 - 2
AAR
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 4
AAR
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCT
3 - 1
KUS
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UST
1 - 5
FCT
31%
25%
45%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FCT
0 - 0
LAN
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 1
FCT
33%
25%
43%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCT
1 - 3
KUS
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |